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M. Granger Morgan

Granger Morgan
Office: Baker Hall 129
Phone: (412) 268-2672
Email: granger.morgan@andrew.cmu.edu
Assistant: Patti Steranchak, (412) 268-1085

Lord Chair Professor in Engineering; Professor and Department Head, Engineering and Public Policy; Professor, Electrical and Computer Engineering and Heinz College.

Research interests are focused on policy problems in which technical and scientific issues play a central role. Methodological interests include problems in the integrated analysis of large complex systems; problems in the characterization and treatment of uncertainty; problems in the improvement of regulation; and selected issues in risk analysis and risk communication. Application areas of current interest include global climate change; the future of the energy system, especially electric power; risk analysis including risk ranking; health and environmental impacts of energy systems; security aspects of engineered civil systems; national R&D policy; radio interference on commercial airliners; issues of privacy and anonymity; and a number of general policy, management, and manpower problems involving science and technology.

B.A. (Physics) 1963, Harvard College
M.S. (Astronomy and Space Science) 1965, Cornell University
Ph.D. (Applied Physics and Information Science) 1968, University of California, San Diego.

Carnegie Mellon, 1974 -.


Professor Morgan is interested in a wide range of problems in science, technology and public policy. Much of his work has involved the development and demonstration of methods to characterize and analyze uncertainty.

With colleagues in the Climate Decision-Making Center he has addressed a wide range of problems related to climate science and emission abatement, most of which involve decision making under uncertainty. With colleagues in the Electricity Industry Center he is exploring problems such as distributed resources, carbon management, and basic technology research to support clean energy. He has worked extensively in risk analysis, communication and ranking. He is also active in the CCSReg project.

Representative Publications

David G. Victor, M. Granger Morgan, Jay Apt, John Steinbruner, and Katharine Ricke, "The Geoengineering Option," Foreign Affairs, 88(2), 64-76,  March/April 2009.

Elizabeth Wilson, M. Granger Morgan, and 16 other authors, "Regulating the Geological Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide," Environmental Science & Technology, Feature issue on Greenhouse Gas Mitigation and Utilization, 2718-2722, April 15, 2008.

Alexander E. Farrell, Lester B. Lave and Granger Morgan, "Bolstering the Security of the Electric Power System," Issues in Science and Technology, pp. 49-56, Spring 2002.

M. Granger Morgan, Louis F. Pitelka and Elena Shevliakova, "Elicitation of Expert Judgments of Climate Change Impacts on Forest Ecosystems," Climate Change, vol. 49, pp. 279-307, 2001.

M. Granger Morgan, Amo Houghton and John H. Gibbons, Policy Forum, "Improving Science and Technology Advice for the U.S. Congress," Science, pp. 1999-2000, September 14, 2001.

Elizabeth A. Casman, M. Granger Morgan and Hadi Dowlatabadi, "Mixed Levels of Uncertainty in Complex Policy Models," Risk Analysis, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 33-42, 1999.

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