Director
of Center for the Study and Improvement of Regulation
Professor, Engineering
and Public Policy and Social
and Decision Sciences
Decision
theory and risk analysis, risk communication, geographic
information systems (GIS), decision support systems.
B.S. (Architecture)
1974, University of Virginia
M.S. (Operations Research) 1981, Naval Postgraduate
School
Ph.D. (Industrial Engineering/Engineering Management)
1991, Stanford University.
Carnegie
Mellon,1990 -.
Professor
Fischbeck applies the tools of decision analysis and
behavioral social science to policy problems, paying
particular attention to the quantification and communication
of uncertainty. This work covers both theoretical
improvements to decision analysis and numerous applied
real world problems.
Using
a systems approach, Professor Fischbeck has studied
a variety of topical problems. Working closely with
graduate students, he has quantified the pollution
caused by international shipping and is investigating
several engineering and economic solutions. He is
Director of the Center
for the Study and Improvement of Regulation and
has an active research program in understanding and
improving risk communication and the design of effective
decision support systems.
Recently,
he has studied the actual and perceived risks of mine
subsidence in Western Pennsylvania, insurance-buying
behavior in the United States and Japan, warning labels
on paint strippers, and the health and environmental
concerns of citizens in the Pittsburgh area. Other
work includes an investigation of organizational reliability
from a probabilistic risk analysis (PRA) perspective.
A PRA study is often used to understand the reliability
of a technical system (like the space shuttle), but
it is only by including the organizational features
that a true understanding of the risk and failure
modes can be modeled.
Other
work includes an investigation of organizational reliability
from a probabilistic risk analysis (PRA) perspective.
A PRA study is often used to understand the reliability
of a technical system (like the space shuttle), but
it is only by including the organizational features
that a true understanding of the risk and failure
modes can be modeled. This more global perspective
allows for the establishment of priorities for the
allocation of a wide range of scarce resources including
money, time, supervisory personnel, and test equipment.
Representative
Publications
M.J. Small
and P.S. Fischbeck, "False Precision in Bayesian Updating
with Incomplete Models," Journal of Human and Ecological
Risk Assessment,vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 291-304.
J. J.
Corbett and P. S. Fischbeck, "Emissions from Ships,"
Science, vol. 278, no. 31, pp. 823-824, October
1997.
M. E.
Pate-Cornell and P. S. Fischbeck, "Risk
Management for the Tiles of the Space Shuttle,"
Interfaces, vol. 24, no. 1, January 1994.
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