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SUMMARIES OF RECENTLY COMPLETED EPP DOCTORAL THESIS

Karen L. Chess, Quality Design of Emission Control Strategies and Control Technology Development.
Committee:  Hadi Dowlatabadi (EPP), Edward Rubin (EPP/MechE), Ted Russell - chair (Georgia Inst. of Tech.), and Shi-Chune Yao (MechE)


     Ozone is formed in the atmosphere from nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds.  Reducing the concentration of ambient ozone requires the control of its precursor emissions.  The first part of the thesis develops a new technique for NOx reduction through experimental and analytical research.  The technique uses an ammonia-doped plasma device to create NOx-reducing radicals. The process, termed Plasma DeNOx, has been previously demonstrated to achieve high (>90%) NOx reduction.  Although previous investigators hypothesized that the plasma device produced significant amidogen (NH2) radicals directly for NOx reduction, the thesis suggests that hydrogen (H) radicals generating NH2 from unspent ammonia (NH3) play the dominate role in the process mechanism.
     The second part of the thesis examines the levels of NOx and VOC emission controls needed to meet current and future ozone reduction goals, as well as the criteria to be used to choose from among alternatives. The new 8-hour standard can probably not be achieved without significant NOx control, regardless of cost.  The application of "quality design" techniques, which reduce variation in design performance about its average value, are found to hold promise for making control strategies more robust to meteorological variation and other uncontrollable factors affecting control strategy performance.
     The work was supported by the US Department of Energy, an NSF graduate fellowship, and an EPA STAR Fellowship.

 

Charles D. Linville, Mathematical and Computational Techniques for Research Prioritization with an Application to Global Climate Change Research.
Committee:  Hadi Dowlatabadi (EPP), Paul Fischbeck - chair (SDS/EPP), Baruch Fischhoff (SDS/EPP), Granger Morgan (EPP/ECE/Heinz), Mitchell Small (CEE/EPP) and Herbert Simon (Psych)


     Two new techniques are presented for analyzing the results of large complex computer simulation models that incorporate and propagate uncertainty. The "measurement of uncertainty importance through reweighting" (MUIR) is a way to characterize efficiently the relative importance of uncertainties in model inputs that is robust with respect to non-monotonic relationships between model inputs and outputs.  The approach draws upon variance-importance measures of uncertainty importance, but extends these by providing computational savings through the use of techniques for reweighting Monte Carlo simulation results. The "value of information through reweighting" (VOIR) is a way to estimate the expected value of imperfect information efficiently.  It relies on the same reweighting technique that underlies MUIR.  In some cases, the VOIR approach may provide sufficient computational savings to avoid major simplifications to decision problems.
     This work also reports estimates of the expected value of research related to climate change decision making using VOIR and a global climate change integrated assessment model.
     The work was supported by NSF grants SBR 9521714 and SBR 9209873, EPRI grant RP 3441-14, NSF through the Workbench for Integrated Assessment Modeling project at the Institute for Decision Systems Research, The Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center of the Consortium for International Earth Science Information Network, and The Energy Modeling Forum. 

Hung-Yao Yeh, Designing Wireless Local Loops Using Low Tier Technology:  An approach to providing basic telecommunications service in less developed countries.
Committee:  V.S. Arunachalam (EPP/MSE/Robotics), Alex Hills - chair (Vice Provost for Computing/EPP), Granger Morgan (EPP/ECE/Heinz), and Dan Stancil (ECE)

     The provision of basic telephone service represents a huge worldwide market for the wireless communications industry.  The opportunity may be greatest in nations that currently have inadequate telecommunication infrastructure.  Although cellular radio has been used to quickly deploy telephone service in less developed countries (LDCs), this is a high cost approach.  In contrast, the cost of using the next generation of wireless equipment will likely be substantially lower than that of conventional outside copper plant.
     Several telecommunications manufacturers are involved in producing the next generation of wireless equipment or provide personal communications service (PCS).  Major manufacturers have designed and announced products which they believe will be successful.  Among those, the wireless local loop concept is particularly interesting.  It offers a low cost solution for replacing capital and labor intense "last mile" wireline drop to subscribers by mass-produced integrated electronics wireless transceivers.  However, if manufacturers follow past practice, product designs will be focused on industrialized world needs and may not optimally meet the needs of the LDCs.  This study investigates how the designs might be shaped to serve the basic telecommunications needs of the LDCs.  While the LDCs have historically used whatever equipment the industrialized countries produced, some foresight now might make new wireless technologies more attractive and cost-effective in LDC applications.
     To utilize new wireless technologies, authorities in LDCs need to create an environment that will promote technology and economic development as while protecting and fulfilling the public interest.
With appropriate analytical support, LDCs should be able to exert their market power to influence manufacturers to produce products that have the technical characteristics which will meet their special needs.
     This work was supported by Bell Communications Research, Inc. and Carnegie Mellon's Information Networking Institute.

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