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| SUMMARIES
OF RECENTLY COMPLETED EPP DOCTORAL THESIS
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Felicia Wu, Bt or not
Bt? Tools for regulatory
decisions concerning genetically modified corn
Committee: Elizabeth Casman (EPP), Scott Farrow - chair (EPP), Benoît
Morel (EPP), Granger Morgan (EPP/ECE/ Heinz), and Christopher Wozniak
(EPA)
This
dissertation addresses the question of why many stakeholders are dissatisfied
with the state of GM crop regulation in the U.S., analyzes a variety
of regulatory tools that could inform the policy-making process, and
provides recommendations on how to improve the Bt corn and other similar
crops.
Bt corn is regulated by three governmental
agencies in the U.S. A policy analysis reveals both the strengths of
this system as well as potential gaps that could lead to vulnerabilities.
Four types of analysis to better inform policy makers are proposed and
illustrated: benefit-cost analysis, economic impacts analysis, analysis
of uncertainty, and analysis of public opinion (or value-based
decision-making).
Benefit-cost analysis shows that
the current level of Bt corn planting provides a net benefit to U.S.
society of several hundred million dollars. This represents a small
fraction of total U.S. corn sales, although it involves an average 26%
gain per acre in places where Bt corn is planted. The economic impacts
analysis shows that Bt corn growers and industry are the largest beneficiaries
of the benefits of Bt corn, while the greater public experiences no
significant gain and non-Bt corn growers experience a 6.7% loss in revenue
(due to overall increased supply of corn). Methods to quantify uncertainty
for regulatory decision-making are developed using real and rational
option theories. Finally, a public perception study of attitudes toward
genetically modified foods is presented.
A set of policy recommendations
are made for improving Bt corn and other GM crop regulation in the United
States. Work supported by an Environmental Protection Agency STAR Fellowship
U-9155880-1-2 and the Center for the Study and Improvement of Regulation
at Carnegie Mellon.
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Timothy Johnson, Diffusion
of Carbon Management Technologies; Science and Technology Policy; Quantitative
and Qualitative Modeling for Decision Analysis
Committee: Howard Herzog (MIT), David Keith - chair (EPP), Granger Morgan
(EPP/ECE/Heinz), and Edward Rubin (EPP/ MechE)
This thesis analyzes how technologies
to capture and sequester carbon dioxide in fossil-fired power plants might
enter real electric utility systems given their existing mix of capital
plant and dispatch order. A capacity planning and dispatch model is used
to examine how the current distribution of generating units, natural gas
prices, and other industry trends would affect the cost of CO2 control
via carbon capture and sequestration in an actual U.S. electric market
(PJM).
The analysis finds that by the year
2025 plants with CO2 capture consistently provide significant reductions
in base-load emissions at carbon prices near 100 $/tC, but do not offer
an economical means of meeting peak demand unless CO2 reductions in excess
of 80 percent are required. Various scenarios estimate the amount by which
turnover of the existing generating infrastructure and the severity of
criteria pollutant constraints reduce mitigation costs. sequestration
in the seabed beneath the A look at
CO2 U.S. outer continental shelf complements this model-driven assessment
by considering issues of risk, geological storage capacity, and regulation.
Extensive experience with offshore oil and gas operations suggests that
the technical uncertainties associated with outer continental shelf sequestration
are not disposal under U.S. law and large. The legality of seabed CO2
international environmental agreements, however, is ambiguous, and the
outer continental shelf may be the first region where these regulatory
regimes clash over CO2 sequestration. Work supported by The Center for
Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change through a cooperative
agreement between NSF (SBR-9521914) and Carnegie Mellon. |
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Kanchana Wanichkorn, The Role of Fixed Wireless Access Networks in the
Deployment of Broadband Services and Competition in Local Telecommunications
Markets
Committee: Alex Hills (EPP/SCS), Jon Peha (EPP/ECE), Marvin Sirbu - chair
(EPP/ECE/IA), and Daniel Stancil (ECE)
Through
the use of an engineering-economic model, this thesis analyzes the cost
structure of broadband fixed wireless access (BFWA) networks and examines
their economic viability of providing voice over IP and broadband Internet
access services as compared to Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) and cable
modem networks. On average, costs of BFWA networks are higher than costs
of DSL and cable modem networks. Until BFWA electronics become significantly
cheaper, it is unlikely that BFWA will be a third option for broadband
services in urban areas where both DSL and cable modem services are available.
However, in rural areas, BFWA is the only viable choice to provide voice
over IP and broadband Internet access services.
If more spectrum becomes available,
it can be used to lower costs of urban wireless networks but this will
not reduce rural costs. However, the use of 700 MHz UHF spectrum instead
of 2.6 GHz MMDS spectrum does lower costs, especially in rural areas,
because of the longer range that is possible. To foster the development
of BFWA in rural areas, we recommend at least 36 MHz of the upcoming 700
MHz spectrum be licensed in small geographic areas. This would offer an
opportunity for providers interested in implementing BFWA networks in
rural areas to outbid mobile providers focused on urban areas. Because
of the cost advantage in rural areas, if and when broadband internet is
included in the definition of universal service, BFWA networks should
be qualified to receive universal service subsidies. Work supported in
part by a grant from the Carnegie Mellon Information Networking Institute,
the MIT Program on Internet & Telecoms Convergence, and the Royal
Thai Government.
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